Dhaka Bureau: Awami League (AL) is likely to win 166 seats in the next general elections. “If the election is free and fair, BNP will not be able to form the government on its own. Professor Abul Barkat, president of Bangladesh Economic Association, said the party could get a maximum of 137 seats.
“The economist said the study was based on” “understanding the voter’s mind” “and analyzing the results of four previous” “relatively good” “elections.”
The information was revealed at a press conference at the Bangladesh Economic Association auditorium in the capital’s Eskaton on Thursday (October 26).
According to the results of the study, the results of 155 out of 300 parliamentary seats in the country are fairly determined. “These are” “potentially winnable” “seats for the parties.” Awami League will get 70 seats and BNP will get 70 seats. The remaining 15 seats will be won by other parties. However, this seat will not determine the formation of the government. It will depend on the results of the other 145 parliamentary seats.
Besides, 70 percent of the total 11.9 million voters in the election are loyal voters of the party. Of them, 30 per cent belong to Awami League, 30 per cent to BNP and 10 per cent to other parties. And 30 percent of the voters are not loyal to the party. The results of the study indicate that it is not predetermined who these 30 percent of voters will vote for.
According to the study, Awami League is likely to get 148 to 166 seats, BNP 119 to 137 seats and other parties 15 seats out of 300 seats. The Awami League is more likely to form the government based on the possible results. The BJP cannot form the government on its own. Although there is a possibility of BNP forming a coalition government, it is much more conditional.
The possible results have been reached through the rational analysis method, claimed the economist. Abul Barkat said it is a matter of national curiosity as to which party will be in the next election. Data from the last few elections have been analyzed. Election manipulation, farce, coercion, money games – these did not find a place in the study.
Mentioning that a long open discussion was held with the people of different parts of the country, he said the entire study was carried out following a major conclusion. “The next general election will be free, fair and transparent. There will be a level playing field for all parties, candidates and voters.
About the purpose of the research, Abul Barkat said, no one has done this research. It’s 100% personal initiative. Six months ago, it seemed like a lot would happen around the election. Apart from me, no other person, economic association has anything to do with research. The Economic Society has only organized to present the results of the research.
